Friday, 5 May 2017

Occupational distribution of population in North East India.


INTRODUCTION
The economic composition clarifies the miscellaneous economic, demographic and cultural attributes of an area, which form the basis for region’s social and economic development. Among all the social attributes of population, work structure or occupational structure is of paramount importance, since it provides an index to many personal, social and demographic characteristics. Occupation and its role in society has always been the subject of considerable public commentary and debate.

The occupational structure of an economy plays a vital role in the overall economic scenario of the economy. The number of workers employed in different sectors of the economy is crucial to determine the level of development of the economy.

The economy of India’s North East Region consists of 8 states is being holding an important place in Indian economy. However the region is still industrially backward despite of huge potentials and is mostly predominated by agricultural activities. The occupational distribution of the population in the region is also the same as its economic scenario. In this seminar paper we have described and analyzed the pattern of occupational distribution of the population of the north east region of India with some objectives mentioned below .from our study we have found some important findings and we have suggest some policy measures on the basis of our study.
Definition and Concepts
§  Workers:
               Persons who have participated in any economically productive activity with or without compensation or profit. There are four categories of workers i.e. cultivators, agricultural labourers, household industries and other workers.

§  Non-Worker:
              Persons who did not ‘work’ at all during the reference period. It includes students, persons engaged in household duties, dependents, pensioners, beggars, etc.

§  Main Worker:
               Persons who ‘worked’ for 6 months or more during the reference (reference period: one year preceding the date of enumeration) year
§  Marginal Workers:
               Persons who ‘worked’ for less than 6 months during the reference (reference period: one year preceding the date of enumeration) year
§  Work Participation Rate:
              It is defined as the number of workers per 100 population


NORTH EAST REGION OF INDIA : AN OVERVIEW
The 8 states in the north eastern region of India namely Arunachal Pradesh, Assam ,Manipur, Mizoram ,Meghalaya, Nagaland, Tripura and Sikkim are together called North East India .It  is mostly consist of hilly regions; it has plains on both sides of the river Brahmaputra and the Himalayan range around it. The flora and fauna of this region is numerous and varied.

The region accounts for 7.9% of the total land space of the country. Hill ranges forming part of the Himalayas guard the northern side of the region. The area is made up of mountains above the snow line and plains a little higher than sea level.
The region is of strategic importance for the country on account of the fact that nearly 90% of its borders form India's international boundaries.

Topography: About 70% of the region is hilly, and the topography varies within each state. Mountains and hills cover most of Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Nagaland, Meghalaya, Sikkim and about half of Tripura, one-fifth of Assam and nine-tenth of Manipur.

The plains of the region are mainly made up of separate land masses - the Brahmaputra Valley and the Barak Valley in Assam and the Tripura plains in the South. In Manipur, the valley is small, comprising only about 10% of the total area of the state.

The Brahmaputra Valley stretches longitudinally for about 730 km, from North Lakhimpur to Dhubri district in Assam. The Barak Valley, formed by the river Barak and its tributaries covers the districts of Cachar, Karimganj and Hailakandi of South Assam. The Tripura plain is an extension of the Ganga-Brahmaputra plain.

 North east india at a glance:

ITEMS/COMPONENTS
NER OF INDIA
Geographical area
262,179 sq.Km
districts
86
villages
44,996
Total population
45,587,982
Sex ratio
956
Child population
6,738,835
Population density
174 per sq km
Literacy rate
74.48 %
Domestic product at current prices
Rs 22,731,388 lacs
Percapita income at current prices
Rs 49,959
Source: 2011 census of india

total
Rural
Urban
persons
males
Females
persons
males
Females
persons
males
Females
45,486,784
23,212,792
22,273,992
37,083,501
18,922,306

18,161,195
8,403,283
4,290,486
4,112,797
Population composition of north east india

Source: Census 2011, RGI.


What is Occupational Structure?
Simply speaking the occupational structure of a country refers to the division of its work force engaged in different economic activities.
Otherwise speaking how many of the total working population are engaged in agriculture and allied activities and how many of them are engaged in industrial and service sector can be known from the occupational structure of the country.
While studying the structural change in any economy, it is important to be familiar with occupational structure of the economy. Occupational structure in a country depends on a number of economic, technological and geographical among various factors determining it, development of productive forces, specialization, level of per capita income and availability of natural resources are somewhat more important. The occupational distribution of population is often mentioned as an objective criterion to divide countries between developed and underdeveloped.

REVIEW OF LITERATURE
The study of working force is not a new field but each and every scholar has a different way of study. Working force as a broad theme has been studied by various scholars, such as educationists, economists, demographers and geographers etc. Geographers and other scholars have carried out many studies about work force from time to time Fisher (1939) studied production in to three categories that are primary secondary and tertiary in Newzealand and Australia. Although he focused on the terminology of production, yet he categorized the occupation into broad three categories that is primary producer, secondary producer and tertiary producer. Ahmad (1950) studied the distribution of population in Uttar Pradesh. He described the position of the U.P. in comparison with other areas in India in respect of some broad facts about population. Chellaswami (1958) the main object of this study is to provide estimates of the future labour force in five year intervals up to the year 1966 by the component method. He observed that the estimation of future labour force of the country has been confined to a relatively short period 1956-66 so that the results may be realistic and useful for purposes of policy formulation. In the same year Gosal G. S. (1958) studied the occupational structure of India's rural population at district level. He found that the proportion of rural non farm population varies widely from region to region. Likely A. Lall (1958) also studies some characteristics of Indian cities of over 100000 inhabitants in India with special reference to their occupational structure and functional specialisation. Ghanasekaran (1960) observed that labour force is one of the most important determinants of economic and social progress of a country in his study entitled as labour force projections for India, 1951-76. In this study a set of labour force projections for India has been prepared up to 1976 under alternative assumptions about demographic and non demographic factors affecting it. Implied changes in the labour force over the period 1951-76 are also examined at the end. Panda (2006) studied rural non-farm employment in India and Thailand with the help of multiple linear regression models. He tries to derive policy implications in the light of study that policy makers should work on the link between rural farm and nonfarm sectors.  Kapoor (2006) also studied female participation with the help of time used method. He analysed as a whole that work participation in both domestic and marketed work combined of urban females was very high.
Some more valuable works on work force have been done in India and abroad atnational, regional and local level. While reviewing literature it is observed that few studies are done on occupational distribution of the population in the north eastern region of india. While a few works has carried out the relationship between male and female in different categories of working force at regional level. This seminar paper tries to fill up that gap.

·                ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND OCCUPATIONAL STRUCTURE

The occupational structure of country refers to the distribution of its labour force in different occupations. As national income increases steadily and the basic necessities of life are met, there is an occupational shift of labour and other resources into manufacturing or secondary production. As national income rises further and the market for manufactured goods becomes saturated, labour and other resources shift into the service or tertiary sector.
Colin Clark in his study Conditions of Economic Progress draws three conclusions about the relationship between economic development and occupational distribution.
In the first phase of economic development, there is considerable decline in the proportion of persons engaged in agriculture and allied occupations, although the total number engaged in them continues to increase.
In the second phase of development, when the economy is sufficiently advanced, the absolute numbers engaged in agriculture begin to decline and shift to manufacturing.
In the third phase of economic development, the growth rate of working population engaged in tertiary occupation becomes greater than that engaged in the secondary sector but the difference in the rates of increase in the two sectors is not wide.

Discussion:
The North Eastern Region of India is of strategic importance, which is one of the richest regions in terms of natural resources in the country. The main natural resources that are available in the region are Crude oil, natural gas, coal, marble, forest resources, other minerals .Though the North Eastern Region is industrially backward ,  it is the region of some important industries like Tea, agro and forest-based products, rubber, natural gas, petroleum, silk, handloom and handicrafts etc. However the economy of the North Eastern Region is predominated by the agricultural activities. The contribution of the agriculture sector of this region is higher to the Gross State Domestic Product(GSDP) than the country average. Primary sector activities mainly constitute cultivation, on which approximately 75 percent of the region’s population depends for employment; agriculture contributes to approximately 30 per cent of the NET STATE DOMESTIC PRODUCT(NSDP). Secondary sector activity comprises infrastructure, construction and mining; contributes to approximately 18 per cent of the NSDP. Industrial products primarily include crude petroleum, natural gas, tea, minerals and steel fabrication. Tertiary sector constitutes tourism-related activities, real estate businesses and public administration; contributing approximately 52 per cent of the NSDP.  The different sectoral contribution to net state domestic product (NSDP) of North Eastern states compared to GDP composition of India can be shown in the following graph:



The north east India where live 45,486,784 people has a big work force of 16,670,984 people according to 2011 census. Among the three different sectors of the economy of the region most of the people are engaged in the primary sector and comparatively a small number of the working population are associated with the secondary and tertiary sector. However the picture is more complicated if we analyzed the occupational structure by dividing the total working population on the basis of rural and urban areas. It is evident from the datas collected in 2001 census which are shown in the following table: 



Source: Census of India,2001

In the rural areas most of the people are engaged in the primary sector and a very less amount of people are engaged in the secondary and tertiary sector. However in urban areas the picture is totally opposite. Most of the people in the urban areas are engaged in the tertiary sector and a less number of people have engaged in both primary and secondary sectors.




·        Work Participation rate among the people of North East :

Work participation rate denotes the percentage of total workers i.e., total main and marginal workers to the total population in an area. Number of Workers, Non-workers and Work Participation Rate in NER can be explained with the help of following table;
states
Workers
Non-workers
Work participation rate
Persons
Males
Females
Persons
Males
Females
Persons
males
females
Arunachal
Pradesh


587,657


350,273


237,384


796,070


363,639


432,431


42.5


49.1


35.4

Assam

11,969,690


8,541,560


3,428,130


19,235,886


7,397,883


11,838,003


38.4


53.6


22.5

Manipur

1,159,053


665,463


493,590


1,411,337


624,708


786,629


45.1


51.6


38.6

Meghalaya

1,185,619


703,709


481,910


1,781,270


788,123


993,147


40.0


47.2


32.7

Mizoram

486,705


290,740


195,965


610,501


264,599


345,902


44.4



52.4


36.2
Nagaland

974,122


547,357


426,765


1,004,380


477,292


527,088


49.2


53.4


44.7

Sikkim

308,138


194,358


113,780


302,439


128,712


173,727


50.5


60.2

39.6

Tripura 

1,469,521


1,045,326


424,195


2,204,396


829,050


1,375,346


40.0


55.8


23.6

Source: Census 2011, RGI


Among the 8 North eastern states Sikkim has highest work participation rate while Assam has the lowest .Females of NAGALAND have highest work participation and Assam has the lowest female work  participation rate .



·       State wise Number of Total Worker, Main and Marginal Worker by sex Census of India-2011:
The state wise distribution of the total ,main and marginal worker distribution in the north eastern region of india are given in the following table.

                                  
State
Total workers
Main worker
Marginal worker
Person
Male
Female
Person
Male
Female
Person
Male
Female
ArunachalPradesh
587657
350273
(59.60%)
237384
(40.39%)
478721
301109
177612
108936
49164
59772
Assam
11969690
8541560
(71.30%)
3428130
(28.60%)
8687123
7034642
1652481
3282567
1506918
1775649
Nagaland
974122
547357
(56.18%)
426765
(43.81%) 
741179
442204
298975
232943
105153
127790
Manipur
1159053
665463
(57.41%)
493590
(42.58%)
855012
554518
300494
304041
110945
193096
Mizoram
486705
290740
(59.73%)
195965
(40.26%)
415030
263305
151725
71675
27435
44240
Meghalaya
1185619
703709
(59.35)
481910
(40.64%)
921575
585520
336055
264044
118189
145855
Tripura
1469521
1045326
(71.13%)
424195
(28.86%)
1077019
887881
189138
392502
157445
235057
Sikkim
308138
194358
(63.07%)
113780
(36.92%)
230397
160513
69884
77741
33845
43896
 Source: Census of India 2011


Among the 8 states of the north east India Assam has highest number of total ,main and marginal workers and Sikkim has the lowest number of  total ,main and marginal workers. It is observed from the above table that female share of workers in the total work force is less than half in all the states and Assam has the lowest percentage of female share.


·         Distribution of Workers by Category of Economic Activities in NE:
Distribution of worker in four different economic activities cultivation, agricultural laborers, household industries and other sectors are given in the following table.


STATES
Cultivators
Agricultural Labourers
Household Industries Workers
Other Workers
Persons       Persons
Persons                        
Persons
Persons
Arunachal
Pradesh
302,723  
36,171
8,365
240,398
Assam
4,061,627
1,845,346
491,321
5,571,396
Manipur
457,891
111,061
89,495
500,606
Meghalaya
494,675
198,364
20,488
472,092
Mizoram
229,603
41,787
7,852
207,463
Nagaland
537,702
62,962
22,838
350,620
Sikkim
117,401
25,986
5,143
159,608
tripura
295,947
353,618
41,496
778,46


 Source: Census of India 2011






·       Employment in the Organized Sector in NER:

The organized sector of an economy comprises of public sector and private sector. In the north eastern region the number of  private enterprises is very low ,hence employment in the private sector is also very low. The total number of employment in the public and private sector of the north eastern states are given in the following table.





STATES
                         Employment (in Lakhs)
Public
Sector

% to
Total

Private Sector

% to
Total
Total
% to
Total
Assam
5.34
3.05
5.83
5.09
11.18
3.85
Meghalaya
0.47
0.27
0.05
0.05
0.52
0.18
Manipur
0.76 
0.43
0.03
0.03
0.79
0.27
Mizoram
0.1  
0.06
0
0
0.1
0.03
Nagaland
0.73
0.42
0.05
0.04
0.78
0.27
Tripura
1.38
0.79
0.06
0.05
1.44
0.5
Source: Annual Employment Review, 2011, Directorate General of Employment & Training, Ministry of Labour & Employment
It is evident from the above table that employment in the organized sector in the region is very low. While Assam in the top of the list has just only 11.18 lacks workers that are engaged in the organized sector. It is Mizoram which has just only 0.1 lacks workers employed in the organized sector.











·       Growth Rate of Total Workers (Main+ Marginal) in NER of  India, 1991-2001:
While studying the occupational structure of a region it is more or less necessary to study about the growth rate of the total workers in the region. The growth rates of total workers between 1991 and 2001 in the North Eastern states are given in the following table:
STATES
                           GROWTH RATE
TOTAL
MALE
FEMALE
Arunachal  PradesH
1.87
1.61
2.31
Assam
1.67
1.78

1.40

Manipur
3.22
3.36
3.05
Meghalaya
2.33
2.05
2.75
Mizoram
3.31
3.12
3.56
Nagaland
4.99
4.84
5.18
Sikkim
4.45
4.03
5.22
Tripura
2.99
2.10
5.73
Source: Annual Employment Reiew, 2011, Directorate General of Employment & Training, Ministry of Labour & Employment
It is seen from the above table that the growth rate of total workers between 1991 and 2001 is highest in Nagaland and it is lowest in Assam. The growth rate of male workers is highest in Nagaland while the same of female is highest in Tripura.


Conclusion:
The scenario of occupational structure in the north eastern region of India is not very impressive .the rate of growth of work force participation is low in the region. Though the relationship between the agriculture and the manufacturing sectors is disappearing and the tertiary sector has emerged significantly even before the economy became highly industrialized is noted in Indian context, however the north east region is lacked far behind the pace .the NER region is still dominated by the agricultural sector and most of the workers belong to the primary sector. Deliberate actions should be taken in order to restructure the economic scenario of the region .the industrial backwardness situation should be eliminated by taking special industrial policies for the region. The north eastern council AND ministry of DONER are doing good in the region but its activities have not reached the remote areas of the region yet. Central government, state governments, private entrepreneurs and other stakeholders should act co operatively and deliberately to develop the region so that the occupational structure get a push to restructure itself.


 REFFERENCES
§  1)Census of India (2001) “Primary Census Abstract”, Total Population, Table A-5, Series-1, Government of India, New Delhi.
§  2)http://planningcommission.nic.in      (ACCESSED ON 5TH MAY,2017)
§  3)AshwiniMachey,”Economic Issues of Assam”,1st edition.
§  4)Mdoner.gov.in (accessed on 5th may,2017)

Tuesday, 2 May 2017

In India government programs and strategies since independence have not seriously addressed the exclusion problem.




Despite tremendous growth of the Indian economy, failure on distributive front has aggravated the progressive journey towards collective well-being. Inclusive growth has become the buzzword in policy-spheres with recent phenomenon of rapid growth with characteristic patterns of exclusion. In the country government programs and strategies since independence have not seriously addressed the exclusion problem. Exclusion continued in terms of low agriculture growth, low quality employment growth, low human development, rural-urban divides, gender and social inequalities, and regional disparities etc. The sectoral, social and spatial inequalities have raised questions about welfare approaches of Government planning, and emphasized the role of the private sector in addressing development issues in the country. Employment generation, social and developmental infrastructure, health-care and rural diversification are some of the major concerns. Due to faulty approaches and often politically motivated policies, growth has generated inequalities.


“The achievement of high growth must ultimately be judged in terms of the impact of that economic growth on the lives and freedoms of the people.”- Amartya Sen.
Since independence and more specially from July 1991, Indian economy has witnessed several reforms encompassing all the major sectors of the economy. The main objective of these reforms was to put the Indian economy out of the low level equilibrium trap. These reforms have marked a steady break from the previous policy regime. Due to these policies, India has raced to the top of world chart in terms of GDP growth. Since the last decade or so, GDP and Investment growth have recorded historical increase in India. It is projected that the GDP of India will grow at a double digit rate in the next few years. This high Growth, however, continues to bypass a large section of people. A large majority of Indians live in the villages and they have been excluded from India’s growth story. Rural India is facing endemic problems – land holdings are shrinking, slow growth in agricultural production and limited social and economic infrastructure. Women, Children, backward castes & classes and other minorities often are excluded from the growth story. The rise of grass root militant movements which plague nearly one-tenth of India is a direct result of this economic exclusion and the unfulfilled aspirations of the bottom billion. Today, economic power rests with a precious few. According to Credit Suisse, the top 1% of the population own 15.9% of India’s wealth, the top 5% own 38.3% and the top 10% have 52.9% of Indian’s wealth. What this really means is that 90% of Indian, the urban and rural poor has a very small stake in the pie. The policy designers generally claim that with the passage of time the fruit of higher GDP economic growth will ‘trickles down’ to lower levels. But in India, this ‘trickle down’ has not worked yet. The approach of growth with equity or the ‘Inclusive Growth Strategy’ of government has proven to be a failure in key/urgent spheres. Here, we can examine some crucial parameters of Indian economy and thereby can try to bring out the real picture of its performance.



As per economic survey of 2011-12 the share of agriculture in GDP is at all-time low (13.9 per cent during this year) but it is still the most important sector in terms of employment share. On the other hand, the manufacturing and services activities which are contributing more than 85 per cent to GDP and getting a lion’s share of total capital formation are employing less than half of the total workforce. The higher growth and capital formation in the above two sectors have failed to transfer the workforce from low productive activities to high productive activities. The 11th five year plan aimed at generating 58 million work opportunities. But the NSSO survey has reported an increase in work opportunities to the tune of only 18 million between 2004-05 to 2009-10. The growth rate of employment in the organized sector is only 1.9 per cent in 2010. The recent data shows that only 15.6 per cent of India’s workforce has regular jobs whereas remaining 84.4 per cent are either self-employed or working on casual basis. It obviously means that 85 per cent of India’s workforce is working under insecure and irregular conditions. So the theoretical claim regarding the relationship between GDP growths and increasing employment opportunities is nothing else but a myth.
:
Social sector spending in India has recorded secular decline after the introduction of neo-liberal policies, no matter how essential these expenditures are. Wide range of social sector activities accounted only a small per cent of the total budgetary expenditure during last many decades. According to Human Development Report of 2015, India ranks 131 out of 187 countries in terms of human development. India’s public expenditure on health ranks among the lowest in world. Under the neo-liberal agenda it is such planned disinvestment policy of the government that is facilitating the corporate/commercial bodies to invest in health services and earn enormous profits, exploiting the sickness of common people. At present, three quarter of the advanced medical technology and 68 per cent of hospitals are in private sector. This corporate sector led health network is exploiting the bottom strata of society and deepening the health inequality in India
The case is more or less the same in education. In primary education, we are well behind the other nations which have comparable level of economic growth and per capita income. During 2011, the mean year of schooling in India was 4.4 and female literacy rate was lower than the overall average. After the introduction of neo-liberal policies, the private sector investment in education has increased sharply and it has become one of the major profits earning sectors. These corporate sector led universities and institutions are more concerned about the quantitative addition in their strength and higher profits rather than quality of education.

The gap between the haves and have not’s is seriously wide in India and it has more widened after the introduction of new economic policy. Planning commission has adjusted the poverty line for 2009-10 prices, which stood at Rs. 29 per day per capita expenditure in urban areas and Rs. 22 per day per capita in rural areas. On the basis of this, the commission claimed that there was impressive rate of decline in poverty from 37.2 per cent in 2004-05 to 29.8 per cent in 2009-10.The orthodox economists are of the view that the higher GDP growth (8.5 per cent) from 2004-05 to 2009-10 has reduced poverty at a record rate of 1.5 per cent point per year.
But in the reality, according to the calorie estimates of poverty, the proportion of households which are unable to consume 2100 calories in urban areas and 2200 calories in rural areas (earlier it was 2400) are considered to be poor. On the basis of this criterion Utsa Patnaik calculated that the proportion of urban population living below this nutrition level has increased from 57 per cent in 1993-94 to 73 per cent in 2009-10. In case of rural areas, the proportion of population below minimum nutrition norms has increased from 59 per cent in 1993-94 to 76 per cent in 2009-10. It is evident that the extent of poverty in India has increased.

SOME REASONS BEHIND THE ISSUE:
Firstly, growth has been jobless, and the employment growth has declined for the same level of economic growth. Despite of remarkable growth which has made India the world's fourth biggest economy, "employment in different sectors has not been rising. This jobless growth in recent years has been accompanied by growth in casualization".

Secondly, growth has been uneven across sectors and locations. For instance, agriculture has been lagging behind and some regions have advanced faster than others. Policies are also relatively ignored the agriculture sector.


Deliberate actions should be taken for lessening vertical inequalities (individual inequalities) and horizontal inequalities (group inequalities).  There is need to create large-scale job otherwise growth becomes, lower down. Growth biased in favor of lower income groups would ensure stability since their consumption patterns are likely to be more stable. Institutions, regulation and economic governance need to acclimate to maintain the economic transformation required for India to tackle its social and economic challenges. Finally, rights of women, children, minority communities and the other marginalized sections of society must be constantly watched and protected if we wish to reach our goal of a truly developed society.